AB-EXIT Awareness Lab

An election where almost no decision disappears

Compare ordinary turnout with a system where each person can explicitly choose an amplified vote or a payment for temporarily exiting this election cycle. The payment was set in the first module.

Payment from Referendum Lab One budget-checked shared input · read only

2 000 $

Additional decisions that are no longer invisible

AB-EXIT distinguishes A, B, and a genuine absence of decision

—

Observed 2022 result

Current elections

Only a cast ballot is visible. The system cannot distinguish the reasons behind a vote or an absence.

Ballot recorded—

Reason for absence unknown—

Visible actions—

Counterfactual model

AB-EXIT

The A/B protocol shows candidates, payment, and vote weight before a decision is recorded.

Saw the terms and chose A—

Saw the terms and chose B—

Did not complete a decision—

Verifiable decisions—

What happened to the 334,218 formerly unknown non-voters?

This is the same group of citizens. Today their reasons are merged; AB-EXIT makes most of their decisions distinguishable.

Today

334 218 ?

Under AB-EXIT

—

Returned and chose A—

Explicitly chose B—

Remained a genuine Ø—

What did a person choosing B do?

They did not disappear from the election—they evaluated the value of their influence.

What is observed, and what is a model hypothesis?

Observed

601,161 registered voters and 266,943 ballots cast in Alaska's 2022 general election.

Modeled

Attention to the payment and the A/B choice. The model represents completion of an informed protocol; it does not assign intelligence, poverty, or private motives to individuals.